NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Tampa Bay Lightning — Chicago Blackhawks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tampa Bay Lightning are clear favourites: 77% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Tampa Bay Lightning are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Tampa Bay Lightning — No. 11, 10 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 27, 6 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Tampa Bay Lightning 3 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning — Chicago Blackhawks | 3.7–2.1 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 77% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 23% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tampa Bay Lightning
- Tampa Bay Lightning goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 16.10Seattle Kraken4:3 OT
- 14.10away · New York Rangers1:4
- 11.10away · New York Islanders5:3
- 09.10Minnesota Wild3:2
- 06.10Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 16.10Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
- 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
- 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Tampa Bay Lightning1:2 SO
- 24.10.2025Tampa Bay Lightning — Chicago Blackhawks2:3
- 29.01.2025Tampa Bay Lightning — Chicago Blackhawks1:4
- 25.01.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
- 17.11.2023Chicago Blackhawks — Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 8 | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 8 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 26 | Detroit Red Wings | 7 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 27 | Chicago Blackhawks | 8 | 3 | -11 | 6 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 9 | 2 | -13 | 5 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Starspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Detroit Red WingsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Montreal CanadiensUtah Mammothpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New Jersey DevilsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New York IslandersCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- New York RangersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.8
- Pittsburgh PenguinsBoston Bruinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Winnipeg JetsVancouver Canuckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →