New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
New York Rangers are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: New York Rangers — No. 5, 12 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 3 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.6–2.2 | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Rangers
- New York Rangers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 16.10away · New Jersey Devils1:7
- 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
- 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
- 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
- 07.10New York Islanders5:2
- 16.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:2
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
Head to head
- 10.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — New York Rangers2:6
- 27.02.2026New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers2:3 OT
- 17.01.2026Philadelphia Flyers — New York Rangers3:6
- 20.12.2025New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers5:4 SO
- 10.04.2025New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers5:8
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 9 | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 8 | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 29 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 9 | 0 | -22 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Starspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Detroit Red WingsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Montreal CanadiensUtah Mammothpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New Jersey DevilsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New York IslandersCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Pittsburgh PenguinsBoston Bruinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Tampa Bay LightningChicago Blackhawkspreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Winnipeg JetsVancouver Canuckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →