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NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers

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Model prediction for 6 November

New York Rangers43%
Draw in regulation24%
Philadelphia Flyers32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New York Rangers are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: New York Rangers — No. 5, 12 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 3 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers2.6–2.2
New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • New York Rangers goals
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Form

New York Rangers

  • 16.10away · New Jersey Devils1:7
  • 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
  • 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
  • 07.10New York Islanders5:2

Philadelphia Flyers

  • 16.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:2
  • 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
  • 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
  • 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
  • 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2

Head to head

  • 10.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — New York Rangers2:6
  • 27.02.2026New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers2:3 OT
  • 17.01.2026Philadelphia Flyers — New York Rangers3:6
  • 20.12.2025New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers5:4 SO
  • 10.04.2025New York Rangers — Philadelphia Flyers5:8

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth860231–21+1012
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers960328–21+712
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators860223–20+312
29Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
30Philadelphia Flyers903611–33-223
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →