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NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

New York Islanders — Carolina Hurricanes

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Model prediction for 6 November

New York Islanders29%
Draw in regulation23%
Carolina Hurricanes48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: New York Islanders — No. 20, 7 pts; Carolina Hurricanes — No. 2, 13 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Carolina Hurricanes: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Islanders 1 win, Carolina Hurricanes 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Islanders — Carolina Hurricanes2.4–2.9
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

New York Islanders

  • 16.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2 SO
  • 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 14.10Washington Capitals4:2
  • 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
  • 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
  • 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
  • 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026New York Islanders — Carolina Hurricanes1:2
  • 05.04.2026Carolina Hurricanes — New York Islanders4:3
  • 31.10.2025Carolina Hurricanes — New York Islanders6:2
  • 31.03.2025Carolina Hurricanes — New York Islanders6:4
  • 26.01.2025New York Islanders — Carolina Hurricanes3:2 OT

Full record: 32 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights970236–22+1414
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins860230–18+1212
19San Jose Sharks740319–25-68
20New York Islanders731320–17+37
21Dallas Stars731316–13+37

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →