NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Pittsburgh Penguins — Boston Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 23, 7 pts; Boston Bruins — No. 3, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Boston Bruins: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Pittsburgh Penguins 1 win, Boston Bruins 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Boston Bruins | 3.0–2.9 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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- Pittsburgh Penguins goals
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Form
- 17.10away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 17.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
- 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
- 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
- 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Boston Bruins5:4 OT
- 04.03.2026Boston Bruins — Pittsburgh Penguins2:1
- 12.01.2026Boston Bruins — Pittsburgh Penguins1:0
- 13.04.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Boston Bruins1:4
- 01.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Boston Bruins2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 8 | 6 | +12 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 22 | St. Louis Blues | 7 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 24 | Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Starspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Detroit Red WingsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Montreal CanadiensUtah Mammothpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New Jersey DevilsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New York IslandersCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- New York RangersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.8
- Tampa Bay LightningChicago Blackhawkspreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Winnipeg JetsVancouver Canuckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →