NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Montreal Canadiens — Utah Mammoth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Montreal Canadiens 48%, Utah Mammoth 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 24, 7 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 4, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Utah Mammoth: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 3 wins, Utah Mammoth 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Utah Mammoth | 2.8–2.9 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 15.10away · Washington Capitals4:5
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 16.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:2
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
Head to head
- 27.11.2025Utah Mammoth — Montreal Canadiens3:4
- 09.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Utah Mammoth6:2
- 15.01.2025Utah Mammoth — Montreal Canadiens3:5
- 27.11.2024Montreal Canadiens — Utah Mammoth2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 8 | 6 | +12 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 9 | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 24 | Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 25 | Nashville Predators | 7 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Starspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Detroit Red WingsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- New Jersey DevilsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New York IslandersCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- New York RangersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.8
- Pittsburgh PenguinsBoston Bruinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Tampa Bay LightningChicago Blackhawkspreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Winnipeg JetsVancouver Canuckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →