NHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Detroit Red Wings — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 26, 6 pts; Vegas Golden Knights — No. 1, 14 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 1 win, Vegas Golden Knights 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.5–2.9 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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Form
- 16.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 16.10Calgary Flames6:2
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Vegas Golden Knights3:4 OT
- 05.11.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Detroit Red Wings1:0
- 23.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 16.03.2025Detroit Red Wings — Vegas Golden Knights3:0
- 10.03.2024Vegas Golden Knights — Detroit Red Wings5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 9 | 7 | +14 | 14 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 25 | Nashville Predators | 7 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 26 | Detroit Red Wings | 7 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 27 | Chicago Blackhawks | 8 | 3 | -11 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Starspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Montreal CanadiensUtah Mammothpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New Jersey DevilsSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- New York IslandersCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- New York RangersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.8
- Pittsburgh PenguinsBoston Bruinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Tampa Bay LightningChicago Blackhawkspreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Winnipeg JetsVancouver Canuckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →