NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Dallas Stars — Buffalo Sabres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Stars are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Dallas Stars — No. 11, 19 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 3 wins, Buffalo Sabres 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Buffalo Sabres | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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Form
- 04.11away · Washington Capitals6:5
- 01.11Columbus Blue Jackets3:1
- 30.10Montreal Canadiens2:5
- 28.10New Jersey Devils1:5
- 26.10New York Islanders6:3
- 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
- 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
- 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
- 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Buffalo Sabres — Dallas Stars0:4
- 16.04.2026Buffalo Sabres — Dallas Stars3:4 SO
- 01.01.2026Dallas Stars — Buffalo Sabres1:4
- 01.01.2025Dallas Stars — Buffalo Sabres4:2
- 23.10.2024Buffalo Sabres — Dallas Stars4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Nashville Predators | 15 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMinnesota Wildpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Columbus Blue JacketsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- Montreal CanadiensColorado Avalanchepreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Pittsburgh PenguinsOttawa Senatorspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wingspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsEdmonton Oilerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- Washington CapitalsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →