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Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Davos — Servette

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Model prediction for 24 November

Davos44%
Draw in regulation22%
Servette34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Davos are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Davos are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Davos — No. 10, 24 pts; Servette — No. 3, 32 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Servette: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Davos 2 wins, Servette 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Davos — Servette2.6–2.3
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Davos
  • Davos goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Davos

  • 31.10away · Lausanne2:3 OT
  • 30.10Rapperswil-Jona4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Fribourg1:3
  • 24.10away · Langnau Tigers3:2 OT
  • 23.10Bern1:4

Servette

  • 31.10Biel3:2
  • 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
  • 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
  • 25.10Zurich1:5
  • 23.10away · Ajoie0:5

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Servette — Davos3:2
  • 03.12.2025Davos — Servette6:2
  • 29.11.2025Servette — Davos3:2 OT
  • 28.10.2025Servette — Davos7:0
  • 27.09.2025Davos — Servette3:2 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024
11Biel18702957–60-323

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernAmbri-Piottapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • FribourgZurichpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • Langnau TigersAjoiepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
  • LausanneRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • LuganoBielpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • ZugEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →