Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, 21:45 (UTC+3)

Lausanne — Rapperswil-Jona

Model prediction for 24 November

Lausanne47%

Draw in regulation21%

Rapperswil-Jona32%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lausanne are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

Lausanne are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

League table: Lausanne — No. 8, 26 pts; Rapperswil-Jona — No. 13, 19 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Rapperswil-Jona: 3 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Lausanne 4 wins, Rapperswil-Jona 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lausanne — Rapperswil-Jona		2.9–2.5
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)		58%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Lausanne
Lausanne goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Lausanne

31.10Davos3:2 OT
29.10away · Lugano0:4
27.10Langnau Tigers3:9
24.10Fribourg2:0
23.10away · Zug1:4

Rapperswil-Jona

31.10Ajoie2:4
30.10away · Davos3:4 SO
27.10Servette1:2 OT
24.10away · EHC Kloten2:1
23.10Ambri-Piotta6:3

Head to head

10.10.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Lausanne1:4
18.01.2026Lausanne — Rapperswil-Jona3:4 OT
25.11.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Lausanne3:4
21.10.2025Lausanne — Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
19.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Lausanne0:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Fribourg	18	7	2	2	7	57–44	+13	27
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lausanne	20	7	2	1	10	59–69	-10	26
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Ajoie	19	5	4	2	8	58–64	-6	25
12	Lugano	18	6	1	2	9	56–62	-6	22
13, Relegation play-off	Rapperswil-Jona	19	4	2	3	10	50–69	-19	19
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	19	5	1	1	12	44–69	-25	18

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
BernAmbri-Piottapreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
21:45
DavosServettepreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
21:45
FribourgZurichpreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.9
21:45
Langnau TigersAjoiepreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
21:45
LuganoBielpreliminary
5742
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
21:45
ZugEHC Klotenpreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →