Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, 21:45 (UTC+3)

Langnau Tigers — Ajoie

Model prediction for 24 November

Langnau Tigers57%

Draw in regulation20%

Ajoie23%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Langnau Tigers are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

Langnau Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

League table: Langnau Tigers — No. 4, 29 pts; Ajoie — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Langnau Tigers 1 win, Ajoie 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Langnau Tigers — Ajoie		3.3–2.2
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)		69%
Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout)		31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Langnau Tigers
Langnau Tigers goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Langnau Tigers

30.10away · Zug2:3
28.10Fribourg4:2
27.10away · Lausanne9:3
24.10Davos2:3 OT
23.10away · Zurich2:3

Ajoie

31.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:2
30.10Bern1:4
27.10away · EHC Kloten4:7
24.10away · Ambri-Piotta0:3
23.10Servette5:0

Head to head

10.10.2026Ajoie — Langnau Tigers5:4 OT
23.01.2026Langnau Tigers — Ajoie2:3 OT
14.01.2026Ajoie — Langnau Tigers2:1 SO
21.10.2025Ajoie — Langnau Tigers2:1
03.10.2025Langnau Tigers — Ajoie1:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	19	8	3	2	6	49–55	-6	32
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Langnau Tigers	19	8	1	3	7	66–56	+10	29
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zug	13	9	0	1	3	49–27	+22	28
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lausanne	20	7	2	1	10	59–69	-10	26
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Ajoie	19	5	4	2	8	58–64	-6	25
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Davos	19	6	2	2	9	45–55	-10	24

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
BernAmbri-Piottapreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
21:45
DavosServettepreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
21:45
FribourgZurichpreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.9
21:45
LausanneRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
21:45
LuganoBielpreliminary
5742
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
21:45
ZugEHC Klotenpreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →