Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, 21:45 (UTC+3)

Zug — EHC Kloten

Model prediction for 24 November

Zug58%

Draw in regulation20%

EHC Kloten22%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zug are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

Zug are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

League table: Zug — No. 5, 28 pts; EHC Kloten — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
Zug: 3 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Zug 4 wins, EHC Kloten 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zug — EHC Kloten		2.9–1.8
Zug to win (incl. OT and shootout)		70%
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)		30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Zug
Zug goals
Overtime chance
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Form

Zug

31.10away · Bern8:1
30.10Langnau Tigers3:2
27.10Lugano7:2
24.10away · Biel0:5
23.10Lausanne4:1

EHC Kloten

31.10Zurich0:4
30.10away · Biel2:4
27.10Ajoie7:4
24.10Rapperswil-Jona1:2
23.10away · Lugano5:2

Head to head

11.10.2026EHC Kloten — Zug1:3
23.01.2026EHC Kloten — Zug1:2
03.01.2026Zug — EHC Kloten1:2 OT
17.12.2025Zug — EHC Kloten5:4
19.09.2025EHC Kloten — Zug2:5

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Langnau Tigers	19	8	1	3	7	66–56	+10	29
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zug	13	9	0	1	3	49–27	+22	28
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Bern	17	7	2	3	5	46–47	-1	28
13, Relegation play-off	Rapperswil-Jona	19	4	2	3	10	50–69	-19	19
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	19	5	1	1	12	44–69	-25	18

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
BernAmbri-Piottapreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
21:45
DavosServettepreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
21:45
FribourgZurichpreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.9
21:45
Langnau TigersAjoiepreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
21:45
LausanneRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
21:45
LuganoBielpreliminary
5742
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →