Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Dizel are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts; Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Dizel: 4 defeats in a row; Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dizel 3 wins, Toros Neftekamsk 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Dizel 7, Toros Neftekamsk 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk | 2.2–2.0 | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dizel
- Dizel goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
- 23.10Tambov1:2
- 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
- 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
- 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
- 28.10HC Yugra5:2
- 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
- 24.10Kurgan4:3
- 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
- 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk1:2
- 30.09.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Dizel1:2
- 14.12.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Dizel4:2
- 04.12.2024Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk4:3
- 19.01.2024Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 24 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.0
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:13.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →