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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk

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Model prediction for 8 November

Dizel42%
Draw in regulation24%
Toros Neftekamsk34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Dizel are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts; Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Dizel: 4 defeats in a row; Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dizel 3 wins, Toros Neftekamsk 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Dizel 7, Toros Neftekamsk 11.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk2.2–2.0
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)28%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)72%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Dizel

  • 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
  • 23.10Tambov1:2
  • 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
  • 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
  • 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT

Toros Neftekamsk

  • 28.10HC Yugra5:2
  • 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
  • 24.10Kurgan4:3
  • 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
  • 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1

Head to head

  • 20.02.2026Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk1:2
  • 30.09.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Dizel1:2
  • 14.12.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Dizel4:2
  • 04.12.2024Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk4:3
  • 19.01.2024Dizel — Toros Neftekamsk4:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
24Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416
25Dizel1863937–47-1015
26Zvezda Moscow19711145–60-1515

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →