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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

HC Yugra — Magnitka Magnitogorsk

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Model prediction for 8 November

HC Yugra56%
Draw in regulation22%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 24%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.5.

Facts

  • League table: HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts; Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 22, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: HC Yugra 3 wins, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: HC Yugra 9, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HC Yugra — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2.4–1.5
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)24%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)76%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HC Yugra
  • HC Yugra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

HC Yugra

  • 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
  • 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
  • 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
  • 24.10away · Olympia4:0
  • 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1

Magnitka Magnitogorsk

  • 02.11away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 27.10Dyn. Altay2:3
  • 25.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
  • 23.10Krasnoyarsk2:3 SO
  • 21.10HC Norilsk2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 10.01.2026HC Yugra — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:1 SO
  • 03.11.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — HC Yugra4:1
  • 01.02.2025HC Yugra — Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2 SO
  • 19.10.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — HC Yugra2:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
21Bars20911043–59-1619
22Magnitka Magnitogorsk1756631–36-516
23Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →