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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Tambov — Perm

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Model prediction for 8 November

Tambov31%
Draw in regulation23%
Perm46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Perm are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Perm are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts; Perm — No. 5, 28 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Perm: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tambov 3 wins, Perm 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Tambov 5, Perm 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tambov — Perm2.1–2.6
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Tambov

  • 03.11Izhevsk5:1
  • 30.10Olympia4:2
  • 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 23.10away · Dizel2:1
  • 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6

Perm

  • 30.10HC Yugra3:2 SO
  • 28.10Rubin Tyumen5:2
  • 26.10Kurgan3:1
  • 24.10Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 19.10away · Dyn. Altay5:1

Head to head

  • 14.01.2026Tambov — Perm3:0
  • 06.11.2025Perm — Tambov3:2 SO
  • 18.02.2025Tambov — Perm2:6
  • 02.10.2024Perm — Tambov3:4
  • 29.01.2024Perm — Tambov1:5

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, PlayoffsAKM21125461–48+1329
5, PlayoffsPerm19140556–32+2428
6, PlayoffsOrsk19116253–42+1128
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →