VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Kurgan — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Gornyak are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- Gornyak are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Kurgan — No. 27, 14 pts; Gornyak — No. 18, 20 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kurgan 2 wins, Gornyak 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kurgan — Gornyak | 2.1–2.5 | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kurgan
- Kurgan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Orsk4:3 OT
- 26.10away · Perm1:3
- 24.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:4
- 22.10away · Izhevsk4:2
- 20.10away · Olympia1:3
- 31.10Dyn. Altay3:2
- 29.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:4 SO
- 27.10Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 25.10HC Norilsk0:2
- 18.10away · Kaluga3:1
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Kurgan — Gornyak4:3 OT
- 11.11.2025Gornyak — Kurgan4:3
- 28.01.2025Kurgan — Gornyak1:2
- 23.10.2024Gornyak — Kurgan6:1
- 28.12.2023Kurgan — Gornyak2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Olympia | 22 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:23.9
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:13.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →