Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 7, 27 pts; Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 19, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2 wins, Dinamo St. Petersburg 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg | 2.9–1.9 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.11Khimik5:6
- 29.10away · Gornyak4:3 SO
- 27.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:1
- 25.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:0
- 23.10away · Orsk1:2
- 03.11away · HC Norilsk2:3 SO
- 26.10Kaluga3:0
- 24.10AKM2:1 SO
- 22.10Ryazan3:4 OT
- 14.10away · Bars2:4
Head to head
- 13.12.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg4:2
- 02.12.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:4
- 17.02.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1
- 02.10.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:3
- 07.02.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:23.9
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:13.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →