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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg

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Model prediction for 8 November

Metallurg Novokuznetsk56%
Draw in regulation21%
Dinamo St. Petersburg23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 7, 27 pts; Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 19, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2 wins, Dinamo St. Petersburg 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg2.9–1.9
Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
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Form

Metallurg Novokuznetsk

  • 04.11Khimik5:6
  • 29.10away · Gornyak4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:1
  • 25.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:0
  • 23.10away · Orsk1:2

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 03.11away · HC Norilsk2:3 SO
  • 26.10Kaluga3:0
  • 24.10AKM2:1 SO
  • 22.10Ryazan3:4 OT
  • 14.10away · Bars2:4

Head to head

  • 13.12.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg4:2
  • 02.12.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:4
  • 17.02.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1
  • 02.10.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:3
  • 07.02.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk5:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, PlayoffsOrsk19116253–42+1128
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk21123646–32+1427
8, PlayoffsKhimik20114569–47+2226
18Gornyak1792642–39+320
19Dinamo St. Petersburg1883749–54-519
20Rubin Tyumen1983843–53-1019

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →