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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Dyn. Altay — Zvezda Moscow

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Model prediction for 8 November

Dyn. Altay35%
Draw in regulation23%
Zvezda Moscow42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Zvezda Moscow are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Dyn. Altay — No. 24, 16 pts; Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dyn. Altay 1 win, Zvezda Moscow 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Dyn. Altay 8, Zvezda Moscow 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dyn. Altay — Zvezda Moscow2.2–2.4
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dyn. Altay
  • Dyn. Altay goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dyn. Altay

  • 31.10away · Gornyak2:3
  • 29.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:3
  • 27.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2
  • 25.10away · Orsk4:3 OT
  • 19.10Perm1:5

Zvezda Moscow

  • 04.11away · Krasnoyarsk1:2
  • 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
  • 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
  • 22.10AKM4:3 OT
  • 20.10Ryazan2:3

Head to head

  • 09.02.2026Zvezda Moscow — Dyn. Altay2:1
  • 09.10.2025Dyn. Altay — Zvezda Moscow4:2
  • 21.02.2025Zvezda Moscow — Dyn. Altay5:1
  • 30.09.2024Dyn. Altay — Zvezda Moscow1:4
  • 25.11.2023Zvezda Moscow — Dyn. Altay1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23Magnitka Magnitogorsk1756631–36-516
24Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416
25Dizel1863937–47-1015
26Zvezda Moscow19711145–60-1515
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →