VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Rubin Tyumen — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Rubin Tyumen are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Rubin Tyumen — No. 20, 19 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Rubin Tyumen: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Rubin Tyumen 2 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rubin Tyumen
- Rubin Tyumen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Orsk3:4 SO
- 28.10away · Perm2:5
- 26.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 24.10away · Izhevsk5:2
- 22.10away · Olympia0:1 SO
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Rubin Tyumen — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:3
- 07.11.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
- 26.01.2025Rubin Tyumen — Chelmet Chelyabinsk0:1
- 25.10.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Rubin Tyumen2:0
- 06.02.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Rubin Tyumen1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.0
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:13.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →