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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Frolunda — Brynas

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Model prediction for 21 November

Frolunda47%
Draw in regulation22%
Brynas31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Frolunda are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Frolunda — No. 3, 31 pts; Brynas — No. 11, 15 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Brynas: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Frolunda 4 wins, Brynas 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frolunda — Brynas2.8–2.3
Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frolunda
  • Frolunda goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Frolunda

  • 31.10Linkoping4:1
  • 29.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 27.10Rogle4:5
  • 24.10away · HV 716:2
  • 22.10away · Rogle1:4

Brynas

  • 31.10away · Djurgarden2:3
  • 29.10Farjestad4:5
  • 24.10Rogle4:5 OT
  • 22.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 17.10Vaxjo2:3

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026Frolunda — Brynas2:1
  • 28.02.2026Brynas — Frolunda3:0
  • 20.12.2025Brynas — Frolunda1:3
  • 06.12.2025Frolunda — Brynas3:0
  • 30.09.2025Frolunda — Brynas3:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMalmo14623345–33+1225
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • DjurgardenLuleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • RogleTimrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • FarjestadMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • HV 71Vaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • IF BjorklovenLinkopingpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • OrebroSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →