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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Rogle — Timra

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 21 November

Rogle49%
Draw in regulation22%
Timra28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rogle are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Rogle are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Rogle — No. 5, 23 pts; Timra — No. 9, 19 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rogle 4 wins, Timra 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rogle — Timra2.6–2.0
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Rogle
  • Rogle goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rogle

  • 31.10away · Orebro2:3 OT
  • 29.10Malmo0:3
  • 27.10away · Frolunda5:4
  • 24.10away · Brynas5:4 OT
  • 22.10Frolunda4:1

Timra

  • 31.10Lulea2:3 SO
  • 29.10Vaxjo3:0
  • 24.10away · Malmo2:1
  • 22.10Farjestad0:4
  • 17.10IF Bjorkloven3:0

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026Rogle — Timra4:1
  • 31.01.2026Rogle — Timra3:1
  • 08.01.2026Timra — Rogle4:1
  • 04.12.2025Rogle — Timra2:1 SO
  • 30.09.2025Timra — Rogle1:2 OT

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMalmo14623345–33+1225
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • DjurgardenLuleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • FrolundaBrynaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • FarjestadMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • HV 71Vaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • IF BjorklovenLinkopingpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • OrebroSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →