PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Orebro — Skelleftea

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 21 November

Orebro24%
Draw in regulation20%
Skelleftea56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Orebro — No. 6, 22 pts; Skelleftea — No. 2, 31 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Skelleftea: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Orebro 1 win, Skelleftea 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orebro — Skelleftea2.2–3.2
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Orebro
  • Orebro goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Orebro

  • 31.10Rogle3:2 OT
  • 29.10Frolunda3:2
  • 24.10away · Linkoping4:6
  • 22.10Brynas3:2
  • 17.10away · Rogle2:1

Skelleftea

  • 31.10IF Bjorkloven5:3
  • 29.10Linkoping3:1
  • 24.10away · IF Bjorkloven8:1
  • 22.10Djurgarden4:1
  • 17.10away · Frolunda2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026Orebro — Skelleftea3:0
  • 07.02.2026Skelleftea — Orebro3:1
  • 17.01.2026Skelleftea — Orebro2:1
  • 01.11.2025Orebro — Skelleftea3:4 SO
  • 27.09.2025Orebro — Skelleftea0:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad141211058–17+4139
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • DjurgardenLuleapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • FrolundaBrynaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • RogleTimrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • FarjestadMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • HV 71Vaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • IF BjorklovenLinkopingpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →