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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose

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Model prediction for 15 November

Rockford IceHogs32%
Draw in regulation21%
Manitoba Moose47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Manitoba Moose are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Manitoba Moose are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts; Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rockford IceHogs 1 win, Manitoba Moose 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose2.6–3.0
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Rockford IceHogs goals
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Form

Rockford IceHogs

  • 02.11Texas Stars4:3
  • 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
  • 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
  • 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
  • 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5

Manitoba Moose

  • 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
  • 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
  • 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
  • 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
  • 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3

Head to head

  • 31.10.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose3:6
  • 01.02.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs2:1
  • 31.01.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs4:1
  • 14.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose6:2
  • 11.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose2:3 SO

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
6Milwaukee Admirals1070326–20+614.700
7Manitoba Moose1280447–32+1516.667
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →