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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Henderson Silver Knights — Calgary Wranglers

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Model prediction for 15 November

Henderson Silver Knights47%
Draw in regulation21%
Calgary Wranglers32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Henderson Silver Knights are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Henderson Silver Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts; Calgary Wranglers — No. 18, 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Henderson Silver Knights 4 wins, Calgary Wranglers 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — Calgary Wranglers3.1–2.6
Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
  • Henderson Silver Knights goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Henderson Silver Knights

  • 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
  • 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
  • 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
  • 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
  • 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT

Calgary Wranglers

  • 31.10Laval Rocket1:2
  • 30.10Laval Rocket4:2
  • 26.10away · Abbotsford Canucks2:4
  • 25.10away · Abbotsford Canucks1:3
  • 21.10away · Ontario Reign2:3

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Calgary Wranglers — Henderson Silver Knights3:8
  • 18.03.2026Calgary Wranglers — Henderson Silver Knights5:6
  • 17.11.2025Henderson Silver Knights — Calgary Wranglers5:2
  • 16.11.2025Henderson Silver Knights — Calgary Wranglers4:6
  • 09.02.2025Henderson Silver Knights — Calgary Wranglers2:1 SO

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →