AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Henderson Silver Knights 52%, San Diego Gulls 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts; San Diego Gulls — No. 17, 12 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Henderson Silver Knights 3 wins, San Diego Gulls 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
Model vs market
The model and the market disagree: the model rates “San Diego Gulls to win (regulation)” at 37%, the market at 45%.
- Henderson Silver Knights to win (regulation)Model41%odds 2.44Market34%odds 2.93
- Draw in regulationModel22%odds 4.55Market21%odds 4.73
- San Diego Gulls to win (regulation)Model37%odds 2.70Market45%odds 2.23
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- Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
- Henderson Silver Knights goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
- 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
- 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
- 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
- 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT
- 02.11Colorado Eagles3:2 SO
- 01.11Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
- 25.10San Jose Barracuda4:1
- 22.10Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3
- 18.10away · Tucson Roadrunners3:2 OT
Head to head
- 01.11.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
- 11.10.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 05.02.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights7:4
- 17.12.2025Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls1:0
- 14.12.2025San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights1:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 10 | Henderson Silver Knights | 10 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .600 |
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 30702The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →