AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte Checkers are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts; Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Hershey Bears 2 wins, Charlotte Checkers 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers | 2.5–2.8 | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hershey Bears
- Hershey Bears goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
- 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
- 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
- 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
- 18.10Providence Bruins1:6
- 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
- 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
- 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
- 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
- 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2
Head to head
- 04.10.2026Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10.2026Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 12.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hershey Bears6:1
- 11.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hershey Bears1:2
- 04.03.2026Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsCleveland Monsterspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Utica CometsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHamilton Hammerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Hartford Wolf PackSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →