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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

IF Bjorkloven — Brynas

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Model prediction for 14 November

IF Bjorkloven26%
Draw in regulation21%
Brynas53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brynas are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Brynas are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: IF Bjorkloven — No. 10, 17 pts; Brynas — No. 11, 15 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • IF Bjorkloven: 5 defeats in a row; Brynas: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Brynas2.2–3.0
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap IF Bjorkloven
  • IF Bjorkloven goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

IF Bjorkloven

  • 31.10away · Skelleftea3:5
  • 29.10away · Lulea0:4
  • 24.10Skelleftea1:8
  • 22.10Malmo2:4
  • 17.10away · Timra0:3

Brynas

  • 31.10away · Djurgarden2:3
  • 29.10Farjestad4:5
  • 24.10Rogle4:5 OT
  • 22.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 17.10Vaxjo2:3

Head to head

  • 08.10.2026Brynas — IF Bjorkloven4:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven14510829–46-1717
11Brynas14411840–39+115
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • HV 71Timrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • MalmoVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • RogleFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • LuleaFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • OrebroDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →