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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Orebro — Djurgarden

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Model prediction for 14 November

Orebro47%
Draw in regulation22%
Djurgarden31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orebro are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Orebro are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Orebro — No. 6, 22 pts; Djurgarden — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Djurgarden: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Orebro 3 wins, Djurgarden 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orebro — Djurgarden2.8–2.3
Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Orebro
  • Orebro goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Orebro

  • 31.10Rogle3:2 OT
  • 29.10Frolunda3:2
  • 24.10away · Linkoping4:6
  • 22.10Brynas3:2
  • 17.10away · Rogle2:1

Djurgarden

  • 31.10Brynas3:2
  • 29.10HV 713:0
  • 24.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 22.10away · Skelleftea1:4
  • 20.10away · Frolunda2:6

Head to head

  • 08.10.2026Djurgarden — Orebro2:1
  • 05.03.2026Orebro — Djurgarden4:1
  • 08.01.2026Djurgarden — Orebro3:4
  • 23.10.2025Djurgarden — Orebro5:3
  • 30.09.2025Orebro — Djurgarden4:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle15621639–36+323
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOrebro14612533–41-822
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea14513536–37-120
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDjurgarden15432633–41-820
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTimra14431627–31-419

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • HV 71Timrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • MalmoVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • RogleFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • IF BjorklovenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • LuleaFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →