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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Skelleftea — Linkoping

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Model prediction for 14 November

Skelleftea68%
Draw in regulation17%
Linkoping15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Skelleftea — No. 2, 31 pts; Linkoping — No. 13, 12 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
  • Skelleftea: 4 wins in a row; Linkoping: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Skelleftea 4 wins, Linkoping 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Skelleftea — Linkoping3.6–1.8
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Skelleftea
  • Skelleftea goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Skelleftea

  • 31.10IF Bjorkloven5:3
  • 29.10Linkoping3:1
  • 24.10away · IF Bjorkloven8:1
  • 22.10Djurgarden4:1
  • 17.10away · Frolunda2:3 SO

Linkoping

  • 31.10away · Frolunda1:4
  • 29.10away · Skelleftea1:3
  • 27.10away · Malmo2:8
  • 24.10Orebro6:4
  • 20.10away · HV 713:2 SO

Head to head

  • 29.10.2026Skelleftea — Linkoping3:1
  • 12.03.2026Skelleftea — Linkoping5:2
  • 20.12.2025Skelleftea — Linkoping4:5 SO
  • 25.10.2025Linkoping — Skelleftea0:4
  • 20.09.2025Linkoping — Skelleftea0:4

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad141211058–17+4139
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea14912252–31+2131
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda16920555–39+1631
12Vaxjo14411833–47-1415
13, Relegation play-offLinkoping14311927–51-2412
14, Relegation play-offHV 7114124733–51-1811

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • HV 71Timrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • MalmoVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • RogleFrolundapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • IF BjorklovenBrynaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • LuleaFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • OrebroDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →