AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Iowa Wild 52%, Rockford IceHogs 48% including overtime.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Iowa Wild — No. 14, 5 pts; Rockford IceHogs — No. 28, 2 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Iowa Wild 3 wins, Rockford IceHogs 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Iowa Wild
- Iowa Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
- 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
- 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
- 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
- 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
- 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs4:3
- 10.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs1:2
- 11.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild4:5
- 05.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild0:4
- 04.04.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 27 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 28 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsTexas Starspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Hamilton HammersToronto Marliespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.2
- Hershey BearsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Laval RocketLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Rochester AmericansCleveland Monsterspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsColorado Eaglespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Ontario ReignSan Jose Barracudapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →