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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

JYP — IFK Helsinki

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Model prediction for 20 November

JYP50%
Draw in regulation21%
IFK Helsinki29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

JYP are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • JYP are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: JYP — No. 4, 35 pts; IFK Helsinki — No. 11, 27 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: JYP 4 wins, IFK Helsinki 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: JYP — IFK Helsinki3.0–2.4
JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
IFK Helsinki to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap JYP
  • JYP goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

JYP

  • 31.10Jokerit5:4 OT
  • 30.10away · SaiPa6:3
  • 28.10Tappara4:6
  • 24.10Assat4:1
  • 22.10Hameenlinna3:2

IFK Helsinki

  • 31.10away · KooKoo3:1
  • 30.10away · Assat2:3
  • 28.10Ilves2:1
  • 24.10away · Hameenlinna6:3
  • 23.10away · Kiekko-Espoo3:0

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026IFK Helsinki — JYP3:4
  • 07.02.2026JYP — IFK Helsinki2:0
  • 03.01.2026IFK Helsinki — JYP5:3
  • 29.10.2025IFK Helsinki — JYP1:4
  • 03.10.2025JYP — IFK Helsinki6:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit20941649–40+936
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTappara19723751–46+528
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIFK Helsinki19714753–56-327
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKalPa18801946–41+525

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • KooKooKarpatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • HameenlinnaJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • PelicansLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • SaiPaTPS Turkupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
  • IlvesTapparapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →