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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

KooKoo — Karpat

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Model prediction for 20 November

KooKoo41%
Draw in regulation22%
Karpat37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: KooKoo 52%, Karpat 48% including overtime.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: KooKoo — No. 17, 10 pts; Karpat — No. 7, 33 pts. A gap of 23 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: KooKoo 2 wins, Karpat 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — Karpat2.8–2.6
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Karpat to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 31.10IFK Helsinki1:3
  • 30.10away · Lukko1:3
  • 28.10Assat5:3
  • 24.10Jokerit3:6
  • 21.10away · Kiekko-Espoo2:4

Karpat

  • 31.10Jukurit1:2
  • 28.10Hameenlinna1:0
  • 24.10KalPa1:5
  • 23.10KalPa5:2
  • 20.10away · SaiPa1:2 SO

Head to head

  • 17.10.2026Karpat — KooKoo4:3 SO
  • 04.03.2026Karpat — KooKoo4:3 SO
  • 18.02.2026KooKoo — Karpat4:3
  • 28.11.2025KooKoo — Karpat4:5 SO
  • 26.09.2025Karpat — KooKoo3:6

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAssat201012746–48-234
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKarpat20744553–52+133
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKiekko-Espoo20823761–49+1231
16, Relegation play-offJokerit183141041–62-2115
17, RelegationKooKoo202121546–81-3510

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • HameenlinnaJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • JYPIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • PelicansLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • SaiPaTPS Turkupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
  • IlvesTapparapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →