PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

SaiPa — TPS Turku

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 20 November

SaiPa42%
Draw in regulation22%
TPS Turku35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SaiPa are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: SaiPa — No. 5, 34 pts; TPS Turku — No. 9, 31 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: SaiPa 4 wins, TPS Turku 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SaiPa — TPS Turku2.6–2.4
SaiPa to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
TPS Turku to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap SaiPa
  • SaiPa goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

SaiPa

  • 30.10JYP3:6
  • 28.10away · Pelicans0:5
  • 24.10away · Vaasan Sport3:1
  • 23.10away · Vaasan Sport5:3
  • 20.10Karpat2:1 SO

TPS Turku

  • 30.10Pelicans2:1
  • 28.10away · Kiekko-Espoo4:5 OT
  • 24.10Lukko1:3
  • 23.10away · Lukko1:4
  • 20.10Ilves4:3

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026TPS Turku — SaiPa1:3
  • 09.01.2026SaiPa — TPS Turku1:4
  • 26.11.2025SaiPa — TPS Turku6:1
  • 01.11.2025TPS Turku — SaiPa1:6
  • 24.03.2025SaiPa — TPS Turku3:2 OT

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAssat201012746–48-234
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKiekko-Espoo20823761–49+1231
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTPS Turku19912753–48+531
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTappara19723751–46+528

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • KooKooKarpatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • HameenlinnaJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • JYPIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • PelicansLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • IlvesTapparapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →