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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

JYP — Vaasan Sport

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Model prediction for 18 November

JYP63%
Draw in regulation18%
Vaasan Sport19%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

JYP are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • JYP are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: JYP — No. 4, 35 pts; Vaasan Sport — No. 15, 19 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Vaasan Sport: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: JYP 4 wins, Vaasan Sport 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: JYP — Vaasan Sport3.4–2.0
JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap JYP
  • JYP goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

JYP

  • 31.10Jokerit5:4 OT
  • 30.10away · SaiPa6:3
  • 28.10Tappara4:6
  • 24.10Assat4:1
  • 22.10Hameenlinna3:2

Vaasan Sport

  • 31.10Assat1:2
  • 27.10away · KalPa2:5
  • 24.10SaiPa1:3
  • 23.10SaiPa3:5
  • 20.10Jukurit0:3

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Vaasan Sport — JYP0:3
  • 31.01.2026Vaasan Sport — JYP1:4
  • 16.01.2026JYP — Vaasan Sport3:1
  • 18.10.2025JYP — Vaasan Sport5:4 OT
  • 15.03.2025JYP — Vaasan Sport2:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit20941649–40+936
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
14, Relegation play-offHameenlinna206301142–55-1324
15, Relegation play-offVaasan Sport185121033–53-2019
16, Relegation play-offJokerit183141041–62-2115

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • AssatPelicanspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • JukuritJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • KalPaLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
  • Kiekko-EspooIlvespreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • TPS TurkuKarpatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →