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NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Los Angeles Kings — Calgary Flames

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Model prediction for 15 November

Los Angeles Kings46%
Draw in regulation23%
Calgary Flames31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Los Angeles Kings are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Los Angeles Kings are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Los Angeles Kings — No. 30, 10 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Kings 1 win, Calgary Flames 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Calgary Flames2.9–2.4
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Los Angeles Kings

  • 31.10Buffalo Sabres2:3
  • 30.10Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
  • 28.10away · Chicago Blackhawks1:2
  • 27.10away · New York Rangers6:3
  • 24.10away · New Jersey Devils1:3

Calgary Flames

  • 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
  • 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2

Head to head

  • 17.04.2026Calgary Flames — Los Angeles Kings3:1
  • 25.03.2026Calgary Flames — Los Angeles Kings3:2 SO
  • 01.03.2026Los Angeles Kings — Calgary Flames2:0
  • 14.12.2025Los Angeles Kings — Calgary Flames1:2 OT
  • 18.04.2025Los Angeles Kings — Calgary Flames1:5

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →