AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Ontario Reign 48%, Abbotsford Canucks 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Ontario Reign — No. 24, 10 pts; Abbotsford Canucks — No. 2, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Ontario Reign: 4 defeats in a row; Abbotsford Canucks: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ontario Reign 2 wins, Abbotsford Canucks 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Ontario Reign to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ontario Reign
- Ontario Reign goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Tucson Roadrunners2:3
- 31.10Tucson Roadrunners4:5
- 29.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:4
- 25.10away · Texas Stars2:5
- 24.10away · Texas Stars5:3
- 31.10away · Bakersfield Condors5:1
- 29.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:2
- 26.10Calgary Wranglers4:2
- 25.10Calgary Wranglers3:1
- 19.10Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks0:2
- 19.03.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks3:1
- 19.02.2026Ontario Reign — Abbotsford Canucks4:2
- 17.02.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign5:3
- 15.02.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Ontario Reign2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 11 | 8 | +17 | 18 | .818 |
| 2 | Abbotsford Canucks | 10 | 7 | +12 | 15 | .750 |
| 3 | Utica Comets | 8 | 6 | +1 | 12 | .750 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsCleveland Monsterspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Utica CometsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHamilton Hammerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Hartford Wolf PackSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →