AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Providence Bruins — Toronto Marlies
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Providence Bruins are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts; Toronto Marlies — No. 13, 13 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Providence Bruins 3 wins, Toronto Marlies 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Providence Bruins — Toronto Marlies | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Providence Bruins
- Providence Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
- 01.11away · Belleville Senators1:4
- 31.10Hershey Bears5:3
- 25.10Rockford IceHogs0:3
- 24.10Rockford IceHogs2:3 OT
- 22.10Hamilton Hammers4:1
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Providence Bruins — Toronto Marlies4:3 OT
- 27.11.2025Toronto Marlies — Providence Bruins1:5
- 13.03.2025Toronto Marlies — Providence Bruins4:2
- 08.03.2025Providence Bruins — Toronto Marlies5:2
- 21.12.2023Toronto Marlies — Providence Bruins7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsCleveland Monsterspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Utica CometsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHamilton Hammerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Milwaukee AdmiralsChicago Wolvespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Hartford Wolf PackSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →