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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls

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Model prediction for 15 November

San Jose Barracuda40%
Draw in regulation21%
San Diego Gulls39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: San Jose Barracuda 51%, San Diego Gulls 49% including overtime.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 8 pts; San Diego Gulls — No. 17, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Barracuda 2 wins, San Diego Gulls 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls3.0–3.0
San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap San Jose Barracuda
  • San Jose Barracuda goals
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Form

San Jose Barracuda

  • 02.11Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
  • 29.10Abbotsford Canucks2:5
  • 25.10away · San Diego Gulls1:4
  • 24.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:2
  • 17.10Calgary Wranglers5:4

San Diego Gulls

  • 02.11Colorado Eagles3:2 SO
  • 01.11Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
  • 25.10San Jose Barracuda4:1
  • 22.10Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3
  • 18.10away · Tucson Roadrunners3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026San Diego Gulls — San Jose Barracuda4:1
  • 05.10.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
  • 04.10.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls1:5
  • 07.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls2:5
  • 12.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — San Diego Gulls4:1

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →