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NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames

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Model prediction for 18 November

San Jose Sharks39%
Draw in regulation23%
Calgary Flames37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: San Jose Sharks 51%, Calgary Flames 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 1 win, Calgary Flames 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames2.8–2.7
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • San Jose Sharks goals
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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
  • 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
  • 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
  • 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6

Calgary Flames

  • 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
  • 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2

Head to head

  • 03.11.2026San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames1:2
  • 27.02.2026San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames1:4
  • 01.02.2026Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks3:2
  • 17.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames6:3
  • 14.11.2025Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks2:0

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →