San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: San Jose Sharks 51%, Calgary Flames 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 1 win, Calgary Flames 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames | 2.8–2.7 | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
- 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
- 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
- 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6
- 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
- 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
- 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
Head to head
- 03.11.2026San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames1:2
- 27.02.2026San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames1:4
- 01.02.2026Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks3:2
- 17.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Calgary Flames6:3
- 14.11.2025Calgary Flames — San Jose Sharks2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Anaheim Ducks | 15 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Florida PanthersEdmonton Oilerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New York IslandersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Philadelphia FlyersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Winnipeg JetsOttawa Senatorspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Chicago BlackhawksToronto Maple Leafspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Minnesota WildNashville Predatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →