AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Marlies — Chicago Wolves
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto Marlies are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Toronto Marlies are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Marlies — No. 13, 13 pts; Chicago Wolves — No. 21, 11 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Marlies 4 wins, Chicago Wolves 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Marlies — Chicago Wolves | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Marlies
- Toronto Marlies goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Belleville Senators1:4
- 31.10Hershey Bears5:3
- 25.10Rockford IceHogs0:3
- 24.10Rockford IceHogs2:3 OT
- 22.10Hamilton Hammers4:1
- 02.11Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
- 01.11Texas Stars6:3
- 27.10Manitoba Moose6:3
- 25.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:2 SO
- 25.10Milwaukee Admirals4:2
Head to head
- 20.06.2026Toronto Marlies — Chicago Wolves4:3
- 19.06.2026Toronto Marlies — Chicago Wolves3:4 OT
- 17.06.2026Toronto Marlies — Chicago Wolves1:0
- 14.06.2026Chicago Wolves — Toronto Marlies4:5 OT
- 13.06.2026Chicago Wolves — Toronto Marlies2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersBelleville Senatorspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Manitoba MooseRockford IceHogspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →