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NHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Utah Mammoth — San Jose Sharks

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Model prediction for 15 November

Utah Mammoth54%
Draw in regulation21%
San Jose Sharks24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Mammoth are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts; San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Mammoth 3 wins, San Jose Sharks 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — San Jose Sharks3.4–2.4
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Utah Mammoth goals
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Form

Utah Mammoth

  • 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
  • 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
  • 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
  • 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
  • 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT

San Jose Sharks

  • 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
  • 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
  • 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
  • 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6

Head to head

  • 02.12.2025San Jose Sharks — Utah Mammoth6:3
  • 19.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Utah Mammoth3:2 OT
  • 18.10.2025Utah Mammoth — San Jose Sharks6:3
  • 11.01.2025Utah Mammoth — San Jose Sharks2:1
  • 15.12.2024San Jose Sharks — Utah Mammoth3:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth16100657–54+320
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →