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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Bertola R. — Shapovalov D.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Bertola R.26%
Shapovalov D.74%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Shapovalov D. to win (74%), came true.

Shapovalov D. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bertola R. 1454, Shapovalov D. 1669.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bertola R. games
  • Shapovalov D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bertola R.

  • 25.10Brunold M.2:0
  • 24.10Paul J.2:0
  • 21.10Goffin D.1:2
  • 18.10Cina F.1:2
  • 17.10Mpetshi Perricard G.2:1

Shapovalov D.

  • 04.10Alcaraz C.0:1
  • 03.10Tabilo A.2:1
  • 01.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
  • 28.09Hurkacz H.1:2
  • 27.09Mannarino A.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Fritz T.Shapovalov D.29 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →