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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Griekspoor T. — Nakashima B.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Griekspoor T.37%
Nakashima B.63%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Nakashima B. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Nakashima B. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Griekspoor T. 1645, Nakashima B. 1692.

Facts

  • Griekspoor T.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Griekspoor T. games
  • Nakashima B. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Griekspoor T.

  • 25.10Struff J-L.2:1
  • 24.10Cerundolo F.2:1
  • 23.10Lehecka J.2:1
  • 21.10Navone M.2:0
  • 20.10Schoenhaus M.2:1

Nakashima B.

  • 23.10Cobolli F.1:2
  • 22.10Jacquet K.2:0
  • 20.10Medjedovic H.2:1
  • 11.10Bublik A.1:2
  • 09.10Berrettini M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zverev A.Griekspoor T.29 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Nakashima B.Berrettini M.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bertola R.Shapovalov D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Borges N.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Musetti L.Tiafoe F.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Djokovic N.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →