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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Borges N. — Ruud C.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Borges N.40%
Ruud C.60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Ruud C. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Ruud C. are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Borges N. 1631, Ruud C. 1741.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Borges N. games
  • Ruud C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Borges N.

  • 26.10Brunold M.2:0
  • 10.10Lehecka J.1:2
  • 08.10Diaz Acosta F.2:0
  • 30.09Djokovic N.0:2

Ruud C.

  • 26.10Stricker D.2:1
  • 16.10Jodar R.1:2
  • 14.10Auger-Aliassime F.0:0
  • 12.10Tien L.2:0
  • 10.10Bu Y.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Struff J-L.Borges N.30 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Ruud C.Cerundolo J. M.2 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bertola R.Shapovalov D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Musetti L.Tiafoe F.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Djokovic N.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →