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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Djokovic N. — Humbert U.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Djokovic N.74%
Humbert U.26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (74%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Djokovic N. 1978, Humbert U. 1666.

Facts

  • Humbert U.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Humbert U. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Djokovic N.

  • 09.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 06.10De Minaur A.1:0
  • 05.10Medvedev D.1:0
  • 04.10Zverev A.2:1
  • 02.10Bu Y.2:1

Humbert U.

  • 20.10Moutet C.1:2
  • 09.10Gea A.1:2
  • 03.10Lehecka J.1:2
  • 01.10Nakashima B.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Djokovic N.Struff J-L.29 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Humbert U.Van De Zandschulp B.2 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →