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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Merida Aguilar D. — Medvedev D.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Merida Aguilar D.27%
Medvedev D.73%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (73%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Merida Aguilar D. 1655, Medvedev D. 1837.

Facts

  • Medvedev D.: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Merida Aguilar D. games
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Merida Aguilar D.

  • 08.10Van De Zandschulp B.1:2

Medvedev D.

  • 25.10Basilashvili N.2:1
  • 24.10Bublik A.1:0
  • 23.10Atmane T.2:0
  • 22.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
  • 17.10Jodar R.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Norrie C.Medvedev D.29 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Baez S.2 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Bertola R.Shapovalov D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Borges N.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Musetti L.Tiafoe F.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Djokovic N.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →