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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Musetti L. — Tiafoe F.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Musetti L.45%
Tiafoe F.55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Tiafoe F. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Tiafoe F. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Musetti L. 1750, Tiafoe F. 1742.

Facts

  • Musetti L.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Musetti L. games
  • Tiafoe F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Musetti L.

  • 25.10Fritz T.2:0
  • 24.10Cobolli F.2:1
  • 23.10van Assche L.2:1
  • 21.10Kouame M.2:0
  • 19.10Arnaldi M.2:0

Tiafoe F.

  • 11.10Davidovich Fokina A.1:2
  • 09.10Hanfmann Y.2:0
  • 02.10Fils A.0:2
  • 01.10Nishikori K.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fery A.Musetti L.29 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Halys Q.Tiafoe F.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bertola R.Shapovalov D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Borges N.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Djokovic N.Humbert U.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →