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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Djokovic N. — Struff J-L.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Djokovic N.85%
Struff J-L.15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (85%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 85% fails in about 15 matches out of 100 on average.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Djokovic N. 1979, Struff J-L. 1611.

Probabilities

Games over 20.551%
Games under 20.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Djokovic N.

  • 28.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 09.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 06.10De Minaur A.1:0
  • 05.10Medvedev D.1:0
  • 04.10Zverev A.2:1

Struff J-L.

  • 28.10Hanfmann Y.2:0
  • 25.10Griekspoor T.1:2
  • 24.10Fils A.2:1
  • 23.10Bergs Z.2:0
  • 21.10Onclin G.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Struff J-L.Borges N.30 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Djokovic N.Vacherot V.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Vacherot V.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Paul T.Darderi L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Norrie C.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Michelsen A.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Basilashvili N.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • Fery A.Musetti L.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Altmaier D.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Shapovalov D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →