NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Orlando Magic — Atlanta Hawks

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Model prediction for 22 October

Orlando Magic67%
Atlanta Hawks33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orlando Magic are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 117:111 — 228 points in total.

Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Pace: Orlando Magic 103.3, Atlanta Hawks 101.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Orlando Magic — Atlanta Hawks117.0–111.1
Total over 227.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 227.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Orlando Magic points
  • Atlanta Hawks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Orlando Magic

  • 03.05away · Detroit Pistons94:116
  • 02.05Detroit Pistons79:93
  • 30.04away · Detroit Pistons109:116
  • 28.04Detroit Pistons94:88
  • 25.04Detroit Pistons113:105

Atlanta Hawks

  • 01.05New York Knicks89:140
  • 29.04away · New York Knicks97:126
  • 26.04New York Knicks98:114
  • 24.04New York Knicks109:108
  • 21.04away · New York Knicks107:106

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Orlando Magic — Atlanta Hawks101:130
  • 17.03.2026Atlanta Hawks — Orlando Magic124:112
  • 05.11.2025Atlanta Hawks — Orlando Magic127:112
  • 25.10.2025Orlando Magic — Atlanta Hawks107:111
  • 16.04.2025Orlando Magic — Atlanta Hawks120:95

Full record: 28 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →