NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Washington Wizards — Milwaukee Bucks

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Model prediction for 22 October

Washington Wizards51%
Milwaukee Bucks49%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Washington Wizards 51%, Milwaukee Bucks 49%.

The model expects a score around 117:116 — 233 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Washington Wizards without Jamir Watkins: that costs the team about 3.4 points a game.
  • Pace: Washington Wizards 105.7, Milwaukee Bucks 99.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Washington Wizards — Milwaukee Bucks116.8–116.3
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Washington Wizards

  • 13.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:130
  • 11.04Miami Heat117:140
  • 10.04Chicago Bulls108:119
  • 08.04Chicago Bulls98:129
  • 05.04away · Brooklyn Nets115:121

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 13.04away · Philadelphia 76ers106:126
  • 11.04Brooklyn Nets125:108
  • 09.04away · Detroit Pistons111:137
  • 08.04away · Brooklyn Nets90:96
  • 05.04Memphis Grizzlies131:115

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Washington Wizards — Milwaukee Bucks109:99
  • 01.01.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Washington Wizards113:114
  • 02.12.2025Washington Wizards — Milwaukee Bucks129:126
  • 23.10.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Washington Wizards133:120
  • 22.02.2025Washington Wizards — Milwaukee Bucks101:104

Full record: 23 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →