Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Bern — Langnau Tigers

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Model prediction for 20 October

Bern47%
Draw in regulation22%
Langnau Tigers31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bern are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Bern are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bern — Langnau Tigers2.7–2.3
Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bern
  • Bern goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Bern

  • 10.10away · Ambri-Piotta2:1 OT
  • 09.10Biel4:2
  • 03.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:4 OT
  • 02.10Servette2:3 SO
  • 29.09away · Fribourg2:5

Langnau Tigers

  • 10.10away · Ajoie4:5 OT
  • 09.10Rapperswil-Jona3:0
  • 03.10EHC Kloten6:2
  • 01.10away · Ambri-Piotta5:1
  • 29.09Lugano4:3

Head to head

  • 27.01.2026Langnau Tigers — Bern3:4 OT
  • 06.12.2025Bern — Langnau Tigers5:1
  • 15.11.2025Langnau Tigers — Bern3:4 OT
  • 04.10.2025Bern — Langnau Tigers2:1
  • 31.01.2025Langnau Tigers — Bern6:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette11522233–29+421
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers11512341–34+719
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFribourg11422338–29+918
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta10411426–32-615
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBern9313227–26+114
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZug7401225–15+1013

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • ServetteLuganopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
  • ZurichDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →